◀ WORLD II · THE FOLDTHE OCHO · blue builds │ the machine │ red breaks

THE DECAY CHAIN

A parent decays into a daughter, the daughter into a granddaughter — a cascade of coupled first-order ODEs. Rutherford wrote the system in 1905; in 1910 Bateman solved it in closed form. Watch the daughter build up from zero, peak, and — when the parent is long-lived — settle into secular equilibrium, its activity locked to the parent's. Down the center: the initial atoms go in, the equations integrate, the populations come out. The blue team builds it; the red team tries to break it.

source H. Bateman, “The solution of a system of differential equations occurring in the theory of radioactive transformations,” Proc. Camb. Phil. Soc. 15 (1910) 423–427 — archive.org/details/mathematical-proceedings-cambridge-philosophical-society_1908-1910_15. Rendered, not quoted.

◧ blue team · builds & defends
3

THE MODEL — the coupled ODEs

A three-link chain ABC (C stable), each parent feeding the next:

dNA/dt = −λANA
dNB/dt = λANA − λBNB  (production − decay)
dNC/dt = λBNB

Bateman's closed solution for NA(0)=N0, NB(0)=NC(0)=0:

NB(t) = N0 · λA/(λB−λA) · (e−λAt − e−λBt). The panel integrates the ODEs by RK4 and the witness matches them to this formula to 1e−6.

5

THE LINEAGE — the next step AVAN

One link is the-radioactive-decay: N = N0e−λt, a single exponential. Chain two of them and the daughter no longer just decays — it is fed, so it climbs from zero before it falls.

Bateman (1910) solved Rutherford's 1905 system for any length of chain. The reward is secular equilibrium: a long-lived parent pins its short-lived daughter's activity to its own. That single decay is this sphere's premise; this sphere is its multi-step extension.

7

THE WITNESS live

The blue team's live check: re-integrate the chain and confirm the daughter builds up (peaks above zero), that A+B+C is conserved, and that the analytic and numeric NB agree. If red drops the feed term, this badge catches it.

▼ the machine ▼
4

DATA IN — the atoms in ↓

Feed the chain three numbers: how fast each link decays, and how many parent atoms you start with.

quantitysymbolmeaning
parent rateλAln2 / T½(A)
daughter rateλBln2 / T½(B)
startN0NA(0), with B=C=0

Set the two half-lives below; the ratio T½(A)/T½(B) decides whether the chain reaches secular equilibrium (parent ≫ daughter), transient equilibrium, or none.

▼   feed the atoms into the engine   ▼
0

▣ THE PANEL — the engine LIT

units
units
15

Curves: NA parent, NB daughter, NC stable end. Dashed = daughter peak (tpeak); vertical line = current t. Everything is integrated live, never looked up.

▼   the equations emit the populations   ▼
8

DATA OUT — the result out ↓

What the machine proves, live: the daughter builds from zero, peaks at tpeak=ln(λBA)/(λB−λA), then decays — RK4 matching Bateman to 1e−6; total nucleon count A+B+C is conserved; and for λA≪λB the activity ratio λBNBANA → 1 — secular equilibrium.

The blue team's witness (left) confirms these live; the red team (right) tries to make the daughter never build up.

red team · attacks & breaks ◨
1

THE ADVERSARY

WALL The Bateman solution is a mean-field, deterministic idealization. It assumes constant decay constants, a single linear chain with no branching, distinct λ values (equal rates need a limiting form NB=N0λt e−λt), and a closed system with no in-growth or transport.

Real chains branch (Bi-212 splits α and β), leak (radon escapes rock, breaking equilibrium), and for small N the smooth curve is a lie — decay is Poisson, and counts fluctuate. Bateman gives the expectation, not the sample path.

2

THE GRAVEYARD

“The daughter starts decaying immediately.” Cut. With NB(0)=0 the daughter first grows: dNB/dt = λANA > 0 until production equals decay at tpeak.

“Secular equilibrium means the daughter stops decaying.” Cut. It decays as fast as ever — its activity equals the parent'sANABNB), replenished exactly as fast as it is lost.

“Equilibrium happens for any chain.” Kept, corrected. Only when the parent outlives the daughter (λAB). If λAB the parent vanishes first — no equilibrium.

6

THE TAMPER — break it

The red team's move: drop the production term — make dNB/dt = −λBNB with no feed from A. Now the daughter, starting at zero, can only decay, so it never builds up. The witness (window 7) recomputes and catches it.

Sever A→B and the daughter flatlines at zero — buildup fails, conservation fails, the witness turns red. Nothing is faked; the attack is real and it is caught.