LR = 1

THESIS The 84 years from Salem (1692) to 1776 run from "spectral evidence" to the rights of the accused. LITIncrease Mather's Cases of Conscience (1692) argued against convicting on spectral evidence. The Virginia Declaration of Rights (June 1776, Art. 8) guaranteed the accused the right to confront accusers and call evidence. Those protections fed the Sixth Amendment (1791). COMPUTEDIn Bayesian terms, spectral evidence has a likelihood ratio near 1: it is as likely whether the accused is guilty or not, so it should not move the posterior. Slide the LR and the evidence count.

MNEMONIC "A ghost's word weighs one: it multiplies by nothing."

LR pieces

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